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Shopify Inc. SHOP NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Technology • Software - Application • CA • USD

SharesGrow Score
74/100
4/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$89.45
-24%
Analyst Price Target
$165.16
+40.4%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) trades at a trailing P/E of 124.1, forward P/E of 64.3. Trailing earnings yield is 0.81%, forward earnings yield 1.55%. PEG 0.68 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $14.86.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (36/100, Fail) — trailing P/E is well above the S&P 500 average of ~25, suggesting a premium valuation (P/E 124.1); trailing earnings yield is below the 10-year Treasury yield (~4.3%), meaning bonds offer a better return (EY 0.81%).
  • Forward P/E 64.3 (down from trailing 124.1) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 0.68 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 0.81% — below bond yields — investors are paying a premium for expected growth rather than current earnings. Forward yield improves to 1.55% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $165.16 (+40.4% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 74/100 with 4/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
74/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
36/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
FUTURE
73/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
~
PAST
75/100
→ Income
HEALTH
100/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
MOAT
79/100
→ Income
GROWTH
100/100
→ Income
~
INCOME
55/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — SHOP

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)124.1
Forward P/E64.3
PEG Ratio0.68
Forward PEG0.68
P/B Ratio11.36
P/S Ratio13.28
EV/EBITDA101.6
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$0.95
Forward EPS (Est.)$1.83
Book Value / Share$10.35
Revenue / Share$8.90
FCF / Share$1.55
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield0.81%
Forward Earnings Yield1.55%
Dividend Yield0.00%
Graham Number$14.86
SharesGrow IV$89.45 (-24%)
Analyst Target$165.16 (+40.4%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 -101.8 -2.65 8.77 9.25 -
2017 -252.6 354.50 10.09 15.01 -
2018 -226.6 -4.91 7.00 13.63 -
2019 -360.0 -4.50 14.90 28.47 -
2020 423.6 -1.23 21.15 46.20 -
2021 58.9 0.08 15.42 37.23 -
2022 -12.7 0.06 5.33 7.85 -
2023 756.3 -7.30 11.01 14.14 -
2024 68.2 0.05 11.91 15.50 -
2025 169.9 -4.34 15.55 18.09 -

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $-0.04 $389.33M $-35.36M -9.1%
2017 $-0.04 $673.3M $-40M -5.9%
2018 $-0.06 $1.07B $-64.55M -6%
2019 $-0.11 $1.58B $-124.84M -7.9%
2020 $0.26 $2.93B $319.51M 10.9%
2021 $2.27 $4.61B $2.91B 63.2%
2022 $-2.73 $5.6B $-3.46B -61.8%
2023 $0.10 $7.06B $132M 1.9%
2024 $1.55 $8.88B $2.02B 22.7%
2025 $0.94 $11.56B $1.23B 10.7%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $1.81 $1.46 – $2.06 $14.4B $13.85B – $14.84B 28
2027 $2.36 $2.04 – $2.72 $17.86B $16.17B – $18.91B 24
2028 $3.37 $2.13 – $6.24 $23.03B $23.03B – $23.03B 10
2029 $4.00 $3.61 – $4.32 $25.94B $23.99B – $27.53B 4
2030 $5.14 $4.64 – $5.55 $30.8B $28.48B – $32.68B 4
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