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Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund MSDL NYSE

NYSE • Financial Services • Financial - Conglomerates • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
73/100
4/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$37.67
+150.5%
Analyst Price Target
$17.50
+16.4%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) trades at a trailing P/E of 10.0, forward P/E of 8.2. Trailing earnings yield is 9.98%, forward earnings yield 12.17%. PEG 0.27 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $25.11.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (86/100, Pass) — P/E is below market average (10.0); PEG ≤ 1.0 — Peter Lynch undervalued (0.27); analyst target implies upside (+16.4%); earnings yield beats bond yields (9.98%).
  • Forward P/E 8.2 (down from trailing 10.0) — analysts expect earnings to grow, which would improve the valuation.
  • PEG Ratio 0.27 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 9.98% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income. Forward yield improves to 12.17% as earnings recover.
  • Analyst consensus target $17.50 (+16.4% upside) — significant upside potential according to Wall Street analysts.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 73/100 with 4/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
73/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
86/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
~
FUTURE
46/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
PAST
100/100
→ Income
HEALTH
25/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
55/100
→ Income
GROWTH
100/100
→ Income
INCOME
100/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — MSDL

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)10.0
Forward P/E8.2
PEG Ratio0.27
Forward PEG0.27
P/B Ratio0.70
P/S Ratio4.19
EV/EBITDA20.6
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$1.40
Forward EPS (Est.)$1.83
Book Value / Share$20.03
Revenue / Share$3.32
FCF / Share$2.59
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield9.98%
Forward Earnings Yield12.17%
Dividend Yield13.91%
Graham Number$25.11
SharesGrow IV$37.67 (+150.5%)
Analyst Target$17.50 (+16.4%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2019 -55.2 0.00 -56.93 0.00 -
2020 99.6 -0.64 6.04 77.64 0.21%
2021 21.9 0.06 1.53 18.48 2.10%
2022 37.5 -0.90 1.30 18.18 4.71%
2023 7.9 0.02 1.06 5.55 6.06%
2024 8.6 -1.18 1.00 5.55 9.17%
2025 11.8 -0.28 0.82 3.72 12.80%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2019 $-0.37 $0.00 $-1.16M -
2020 $0.21 $24.06M $18.3M 76.1%
2021 $0.94 $121.63M $83.26M 68.4%
2022 $0.55 $230.8M $48.54M 21%
2023 $2.62 $366.34M $231.01M 63.1%
2024 $2.41 $253.06M $215.56M 85.2%
2025 $1.40 $386.99M $122.09M 31.5%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $1.83 $1.78 – $1.88 $361.63M $360.17M – $363.1M 4
2027 $1.79 $1.77 – $1.80 $352.87M $351.83M – $353.91M 4
2028 $1.78 $1.72 – $1.83 $293.12M $288.17M – $298.74M 2
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