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Goosehead Insurance, Inc GSHD NASDAQ

NASDAQ Global Select • Financial Services • Insurance - Diversified • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
75/100
5/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$6.34
-84.3%
Analyst Price Target
$84.14
+107.8%

Goosehead Insurance, Inc (GSHD) is a Insurance - Diversified company in the Financial Services sector, currently trading at $40.50. It has a SharesGrow Score of 75/100, indicating a strong investment profile with 5 out of 7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow calculates the intrinsic value of GSHD = $6.34 (-84.3% from the current price, the stock appears overvalued). Analyst consensus target is GSHD = $84 (+107.8% upside).

Valuation: GSHD trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 39.3 (S&P 500 average ~25) with a forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) of 1.37.

Financials: revenue is $365M, +20.4%/yr average growth. Net income is $28M, growing at +181.4%/yr. Net profit margin is 7.6% (thin). Gross margin is 46.2% (+9.9 pp trend).

Balance sheet: total debt is $352M with negative equity of -$96M — this means total liabilities exceed total assets. This is a warning sign that may indicate accumulated losses, aggressive share buybacks, heavy debt financing, or aggressive dividend payouts. Companies like McDonald's and Starbucks also carry negative equity due to buybacks and dividends, but investors should assess whether the business generates sufficient cash flow to service its debt and sustain payouts. Current ratio is 7.6 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-assets is 84.9%. Total assets: $415M.

Analyst outlook: 11 / 18 analysts rate GSHD as buy (61%) — moderate consensus.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria breakdown: Value 72/100 (Pass), Growth 100/100 (Pass), Past 100/100 (Pass), Health 75/100 (Pass), Moat 63/100 (Partial), Future 73/100 (Pass), Income 45/100 (Partial).

$84.14
▲ 107.75% Upside
Average Price Target
Based on 18 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for Goosehead Insurance, Inc, the average price target is $84.14, with a high forecast of $140.00, and a low forecast of $55.00.
Highest Price Target
$140.00
Average Price Target
$84.14
Lowest Price Target
$55.00

GSHD SharesGrow Score Overview

75/100
SharesGrow Score
Strong investment profile
View full scorecard →
VALUE 72/100
Valuation — P/E, PEG, Forward PEG
GROWTH 100/100
Financials — average growth
PAST 100/100
strong — trend
HEALTH 75/100
Balance sheet — Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio, Current ratio is
MOAT 63/100
Gross margin is + market cap
FUTURE 73/100
Analyst outlook — as buy
INCOME 45/100
Net profit margin is
Scores derived from financial statements, analyst ratings, and balance sheet data.

Score Breakdown — GSHD

VALUE Pass
72/100
GSHD trades at a trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) of 39.3 (S&P 500 average ~25). Forward PEG 1.37 — ~moderate (~1.5). Analyst consensus target is $84, implying +107.4% from the current price $41. Composite: Price-to-Earnings (20%) + Forward Price/Earnings-to-Growth (35%) + upside (25%) + trailing PEG (20%). ≥ 60 = Pass.
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GROWTH Pass
100/100
GSHD: +20.4%/yr revenue is, +181.4%/yr Net income is average growth. > 5%/yr — strong. Score: >20%/yr = 100, >10% = 80, >5% = 65, >0% = 45, < 0 = 15.
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PAST Pass
100/100
GSHD: 4 / 4 years profitable. strong — 100%. Score = 4 / 4 × 100. ≥ 80 = Pass.
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HEALTH Pass
75/100
Balance sheet GSHD: Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio N/A, Current ratio is 7.6 (strong liquidity). Debt-to-Equity < 0.5, Current Ratio > 1.5, Interest Coverage > 8x = ideal. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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~
MOAT Partial
63/100
GSHD: Gross margin is 46.2% (+9.9 pp trend), $2B market cap. Moat (0-100): margin (35%) + trend (15%) + market cap (30%) + revenue is (20%). Score 63/100. ≥ 70 = Pass.
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FUTURE Pass
73/100
Analyst outlook: 11 / 18 analysts rate GSHD as buy (61%). Analyst consensus target is $84 (+107.4% upside). Score: 60% buy consensus + 40% upside. ≥ 60 = Pass.
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~
INCOME Partial
45/100
GSHD: Net profit margin is 7.6%. thin (5-15%). Score: ≥30% = 100, ≥20% = 85, ≥15% = 70, ≥10% = 55, ≥5% = 45, ≥0% = 30, < 0 = 10.
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Stock Chart & Stats

Market Data
52-Week Range40-114.76
Volume339.77K
Avg Volume (30D)510.47K
Market Cap$1.55B
Beta (1Y)1.68
Dividend Yield$5.9100
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.11
Shares Outstanding$24.98M
IPO Date2018-04-27
Employees1,580
CEOMark E. Jones
Financial Highlights & Ratios
Revenue (TTM)$365.3M
Gross Profit$168.94M
EBITDA$85.91M
Net Income$27.83M
Operating Income$74.45M
Total Cash$37.94M
Total Debt$352.29M
Net Debt$314.35M
Total Assets$414.86M
Price / Earnings (P/E)36.5
Price / Sales (P/S)4.23
Analyst Forecast
1Y Price Target$84.00
Target High$140.00
Target Low$55.00
Upside+107.4%
Rating ConsensusBuy
Analysts Covering18
Buy 61% Hold 33% Sell 6%
Price Target Summary
Company Info
CountryUS
ExchangeNASDAQ Global Select
CurrencyUSD
ISINUS38267D1090

Price Chart

GSHD
Goosehead Insurance, Inc  ·  NASDAQ Global Select
Financial Services • Insurance - Diversified
40.00 52WK RANGE 114.76
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