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HCI Group, Inc. HCI NYSE

NYSE • Financial Services • Insurance - Property & Casualty • US • USD

SharesGrow Score
78/100
4/7 Pass
SharesGrow Intrinsic Value
$118.45
-22.8%
Analyst Price Target
$126.50
-17.5%
SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score All 7 criteria scored · valuation-related highlighted on this page

HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) trades at a trailing P/E of 5.9, forward P/E of 9.1. Trailing earnings yield is 17.07%, forward earnings yield 10.94%. PEG 0.03 (Peter Lynch undervalued ≤1.0). Graham Number is $240.21.

Criteria proven by this page:

  • VALUE (70/100, Pass) — P/E is below market average (5.9); PEG ≤ 1.0 — Peter Lynch undervalued (0.03); earnings yield beats bond yields (17.07%).
  • PEG Ratio 0.03 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate (Peter Lynch criterion).
  • Trailing Earnings Yield 17.07% — exceeds typical bond yields (~4.3%), making equity attractive vs fixed income.
  • Analyst consensus target $126.50 (-17.5% downside) — analysts see meaningful downside risk at the current price level.

Overall SharesGrow Score: 78/100 with 4/7 criteria passed.

SharesGrow 7-Criteria Score
78/100
SG Score
View full scorecard →
VALUE
70/100
Price-to-Earnings & upside
Proven by this page
~
FUTURE
49/100
Analyst consensus
→ Forecast
~
PAST
75/100
→ Income
HEALTH
100/100
Debt-to-Equity & liquidity
→ Health
~
MOAT
55/100
→ Income
GROWTH
100/100
→ Income
INCOME
100/100
→ Income

Valuation Snapshot — HCI

Valuation Multiples
P/E (TTM)5.9
Forward P/E9.1
PEG Ratio0.03
Forward PEG2.08
P/B Ratio1.68
P/S Ratio2.21
EV/EBITDA1.9
Per Share Data
EPS (TTM)$26.23
Forward EPS (Est.)$16.78
Book Value / Share$97.78
Revenue / Share$79.09
FCF / Share$38.78
Yields & Fair Value
Earnings Yield17.07%
Forward Earnings Yield10.94%
Dividend Yield1.04%
Graham Number$240.21
SharesGrow IV$118.45 (-22.8%)
Analyst Target$126.50 (-17.5%)

Historical Valuation

Year P/E (TTM) PEG Ratio P/B Ratio P/S Ratio Dividend Yield
2016 12.7 -0.23 1.51 1.43 3.38%
2017 -37.1 0.29 1.32 1.05 5.44%
2018 22.6 -0.06 2.21 1.73 2.83%
2019 13.0 0.27 1.86 1.43 3.76%
2020 13.9 2.01 1.91 1.39 3.30%
2021 364.2 -3.89 2.09 1.68 2.08%
2022 -6.0 0.00 2.15 0.71 4.36%
2023 11.5 -0.05 2.79 1.65 1.51%
2024 10.6 0.66 2.57 1.55 1.42%
2025 7.3 0.04 2.10 2.43 0.88%

EPS: Actual vs Estimates

P/E Ratio & Earnings Yield

Earnings Per Share (EPS) History

Year EPS (Diluted) Revenue Net Income Net Margin
2016 $2.92 $258.22M $29.02M 11.2%
2017 $-0.81 $244.41M $-6.89M -2.8%
2018 $2.25 $231.29M $17.73M 7.7%
2019 $3.31 $242.47M $26.58M 11%
2020 $3.49 $274.08M $27.58M 10.1%
2021 $0.84 $407.92M $7.24M 1.8%
2022 $-6.19 $496.45M $-54.6M -11%
2023 $6.92 $550.67M $79.03M 14.4%
2024 $8.89 $749.45M $109.95M 14.7%
2025 $24.87 $900.95M $299.01M 33.2%

Analyst Estimates

Year EPS (Avg) EPS Range Revenue (Avg) Revenue Range Analysts
2026 $16.78 $16.14 – $17.74 $993.86M $985.48M – $1B 3
2027 $17.52 $16.14 – $18.89 $1.07B $1.06B – $1.08B 3
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